An answer to your request

I gave the option for some of the bbc 606 forum users to request some analysis to be done.

The following was requested:

"For a request for some analysis, I love an accumulator on the football each week. Would be quality if you could see if there is a profitable 5 team strategy. Maybe always backing the promoted teams to lose away or the league favourites winning at home."

So I took the strategy as such: An accumulator for Chelsea, Liverpool, Man Utd and Arsenal to win when at home with Burnley, Birmingham and Wolves to lose when away.

I used the matchday system to determine which fixtures to bet on and so had 38 bets of £10 each.

We obtained the following details:

Bets won: 14
Bets lost: 24
Total Profit: £117.74

The pattern was as follows:

WLLWWLWLLWLLLLLLWLWLLWWLWWWLLLLWLLLLLW

The largest win was £71.61 in the matchday when Fulham beat Burnley, Arsenal beat Liverpool and West Ham beat Birmingham.

It should also be mentioned that for long periods of the time the strategy has us in a Loss position, it took a while to recover from the 6 matchday losing streak.

Liverpool, Birmingham and Wolves let us down the most.

It may be difficult to assess which teams to select as your teams for next season, as you would expect Newcastle to perform better than your average promoted team. As well as the lack of confidence in Liverpool. So we may take a look closer to the start of the season.