C'mon Andy!

Today is a big day for me.

I want Andy Murray to win, I want Holland to win and I want Ghana to win.

But we can't let bias blind us. We need to search for value.

Let's start with Berdych to beat Djokovic at 21/20. Berdych will have learnt from the French Open and will be less nervy and he has had the tougher run to the semis. Novak Djokovic has only ever lost grand slam semi finals to Federer or Nadal so this will be something different, but I just feel that Berdych has more power on the serve and if nerves hold he'll walk it. Put your standard on Berdych.

I can't bring myself to back Nadal, so instead we'll take the over 3.5 sets at 2/5. Put your standard on that.

We'll put our standard on Laura Robson at 4/11.

The bet of day once again comes from the boys section. Bet365 has Fucsovics at 11/10 and SportingBet has Arguello at 11/10 also.

So back both with 10 times your standard and we'll have guaranteed profit of one standard.

IMPORTANT

I once again advise you pile on as much as you can on this. It is important that whatever you put down on Fucsovics, you put exactly the same down on Arguello.


On to the football and with Holland at 23 games unbeaten I can't see them losing in normal time. So back Holland in the draw no bet at 21/10. Put 2 times your standard on it.

Take Ghana to keep a clean sheet at 5/2. Good value, put your standard on it.

Finally I have a long-term bet for you. Stack 20 times your standard on Alberto "El Pistolero" Contador to win the Tour de France at 4/7.

Thursdays Suck

Yep, they suck. There is so little activity today that I may just dedicate Thursday a shopping day, to spend all the money we've made.

Anyway in the Women's Semi Finals at Wimbledon, take Pironkova at 2/1. Put your standard on it.

For the other Semi-Final there is no value in Serena Williams at 1/12, so take her to win in straight sets at 3/10. Put your standard on that.

Melzer/Petzschner have impressed so far as a pair and although Moodie/Norman cost us yesterday, we'll go against them again. Back Melzer/Petzschner at 9/10 with your standard stake.

Put your standard on Laura Robson to beat Moore at 1/6.

The bet of the day comes from the boy's quarter finals between Golding and Olivo.

Now this will take a different form to my previous 5 bets of the day.

Sky Bet have Golding at 6/5, and William Hill have Olivo at evens.

So with 10 times our standard on Golding and 11 times our standard on Olivo. We can guarantee a profit of one standard stake.

Why? If Golding wins we win 12 times our standard, but subtract the 11 standard we put on Olivo to give profit of one standard.

If Olivo wins, we win 11 times our standard, but subtract the 10 standard we put on Golding to give profit of one standard.

IMPORTANT

I would advise you to put as much on as you possibly can. The ratio must be the same though.

Whatever you put on Golding at 6/5, you must put 1.1 times that amount on Olivo at evens.

It turns out Thursdays aren't too bad after all.

Spain are still the cream

The Ladies' quarter finals take place today and back Zvonarera at 7/2, V Williams at 1/8, S Williams at 1/5 and Kvitova at 4/6. Put your standard on each.

Also take the 1/9 on the Bryan twins to beat Ball/Guccione. Put 5 times your standard on it.

At 1/50, this may seem a ridiculous tip, but 2% return for little to no risk is still good. So take the 1/50 on South Africa to wrap up the test match against the West Indies. I'd put 10 times your stake on it, but we won't call it the bet of the day. You expect more.

On to the world cup games and nearly everyone I've spoken to have been impressed with Japan. I am quick to mention that Paraguay were also impressive in their group, but I'll still back Japan in this one. Put your standard on Japan to qualify at 6/4.

Now I am still backing Holland, but it is hard to deny that the best international team of the last 4 years have been Spain. They are the cream of the crop and, unless Ronaldo puts on a show, this will be too easy for Spain.

We can take Spain to keep a clean sheet at 13/10. Put 2 times your standard on that.

And finally the bet of the day is Spain to qualify at 1/2. As always put 10 times your stake on it.