Fulham-Reading -- Reading @ 9/2
Norwich-Villa -- Draw @ 12/5
Swansea-Man City -- Draw @ 14/5
Spurs-Southampton -- Draw @ 19/5
West Brom-Wigan -- Draw @ 5/2
West Ham-Newcastle -- West Ham @ 11/8
QPR-Arsenal -- Draw @ 19/5
Liverpool-Everton -- Draw @ 13/5
Man Utd-Chelsea -- Man Utd @ 5/4
Sunderland-Stoke -- Draw @ 12/5
Man City-West Brom -- West Brom @ 19/2
Wigan-Swansea -- Wigan @ 11/10
Chelsea-Spurs -- Draw @ 5/2
Thirteen games this matchday, £10 stakes on each, total stake £130.
Tuesday 30 April 2013
Premier League 2012/13 Gameweek 35 Results
Having staked £100 on the 10 Premiership games in gameweek 35, I achieved a profit of £62.00.
Gameweek 1: £62.31
Gameweek 2: -£25.09
Gameweek 3: -£2.00
Gameweek 4: -£4.91
Gameweek 5: -£60.83
Gameweek 6: -£16.78
Gameweek 7: -£46.57
Gameweek 8: -£62.45
Gameweek 9: £6.88
Gameweek 10: £113.05
Gameweek 11: £39.12
Gameweek 12: -£7.76
Gameweek 13: £70.40
Gameweek 14: £20.80
Gameweek 15: £22.73
Gameweek 16: -£77.50
Gameweek 17: £3.84
Gameweek 18: -£59.37
Gameweek 19: £22.01
Gameweek 20: -£100.00
Gameweek 21: -£18.42
Gameweek 22: £63.80
Gameweek 23: £0.33
Gameweek 24: £135.12
Gameweek 25: £25.53
Gameweek 26: -£76.00
Gameweek 27: -£90.00
Gameweek 28: -£45.38
Gameweek 29: -£7.42
Gameweek 30: £21.82
Gameweek 31: -£82.50
Gameweek 32: -£31.56
Gameweek 33: £84.50
Gameweek 34: £6.00
Gameweek 35: £62.00
Total: £-54.30
Gameweek 1: £62.31
Gameweek 2: -£25.09
Gameweek 3: -£2.00
Gameweek 4: -£4.91
Gameweek 5: -£60.83
Gameweek 6: -£16.78
Gameweek 7: -£46.57
Gameweek 8: -£62.45
Gameweek 9: £6.88
Gameweek 10: £113.05
Gameweek 11: £39.12
Gameweek 12: -£7.76
Gameweek 13: £70.40
Gameweek 14: £20.80
Gameweek 15: £22.73
Gameweek 16: -£77.50
Gameweek 17: £3.84
Gameweek 18: -£59.37
Gameweek 19: £22.01
Gameweek 20: -£100.00
Gameweek 21: -£18.42
Gameweek 22: £63.80
Gameweek 23: £0.33
Gameweek 24: £135.12
Gameweek 25: £25.53
Gameweek 26: -£76.00
Gameweek 27: -£90.00
Gameweek 28: -£45.38
Gameweek 29: -£7.42
Gameweek 30: £21.82
Gameweek 31: -£82.50
Gameweek 32: -£31.56
Gameweek 33: £84.50
Gameweek 34: £6.00
Gameweek 35: £62.00
Total: £-54.30
Saturday 27 April 2013
Premier League 2012/13 - Gameweek 35
Man City-West Ham -- West Ham @ 12/1
Everton-Fulham -- Fulham @ 71/10
Southampton-West Brom -- West Brom @ 9/2
Stoke-Norwich -- Draw @ 23/10
Wigan-Spurs -- Draw @ 13/5
Newcastle-Liverpool -- Draw @ 13/5
Reading-QPR -- Draw @ 5/2
Chelsea-Swansea -- Swansea @ 10/1
Arsenal-Man Utd -- Draw @ 13/5
Villa-Sunderland -- Draw @ 12/5
Ten games this matchday, £10 stakes on each, total stake £100.
Everton-Fulham -- Fulham @ 71/10
Southampton-West Brom -- West Brom @ 9/2
Stoke-Norwich -- Draw @ 23/10
Wigan-Spurs -- Draw @ 13/5
Newcastle-Liverpool -- Draw @ 13/5
Reading-QPR -- Draw @ 5/2
Chelsea-Swansea -- Swansea @ 10/1
Arsenal-Man Utd -- Draw @ 13/5
Villa-Sunderland -- Draw @ 12/5
Ten games this matchday, £10 stakes on each, total stake £100.
Premier League 2012/13 Gameweek 34 Results
Having staked £100 on the 10 Premiership games in gameweek 34, I achieved a profit of £6.00.
Gameweek 1: £62.31
Gameweek 2: -£25.09
Gameweek 3: -£2.00
Gameweek 4: -£4.91
Gameweek 5: -£60.83
Gameweek 6: -£16.78
Gameweek 7: -£46.57
Gameweek 8: -£62.45
Gameweek 9: £6.88
Gameweek 10: £113.05
Gameweek 11: £39.12
Gameweek 12: -£7.76
Gameweek 13: £70.40
Gameweek 14: £20.80
Gameweek 15: £22.73
Gameweek 16: -£77.50
Gameweek 17: £3.84
Gameweek 18: -£59.37
Gameweek 19: £22.01
Gameweek 20: -£100.00
Gameweek 21: -£18.42
Gameweek 22: £63.80
Gameweek 23: £0.33
Gameweek 24: £135.12
Gameweek 25: £25.53
Gameweek 26: -£76.00
Gameweek 27: -£90.00
Gameweek 28: -£45.38
Gameweek 29: -£7.42
Gameweek 30: £21.82
Gameweek 31: -£82.50
Gameweek 32: -£31.56
Gameweek 33: £84.50
Gameweek 34: £6.00
Total: £-116.30
Gameweek 1: £62.31
Gameweek 2: -£25.09
Gameweek 3: -£2.00
Gameweek 4: -£4.91
Gameweek 5: -£60.83
Gameweek 6: -£16.78
Gameweek 7: -£46.57
Gameweek 8: -£62.45
Gameweek 9: £6.88
Gameweek 10: £113.05
Gameweek 11: £39.12
Gameweek 12: -£7.76
Gameweek 13: £70.40
Gameweek 14: £20.80
Gameweek 15: £22.73
Gameweek 16: -£77.50
Gameweek 17: £3.84
Gameweek 18: -£59.37
Gameweek 19: £22.01
Gameweek 20: -£100.00
Gameweek 21: -£18.42
Gameweek 22: £63.80
Gameweek 23: £0.33
Gameweek 24: £135.12
Gameweek 25: £25.53
Gameweek 26: -£76.00
Gameweek 27: -£90.00
Gameweek 28: -£45.38
Gameweek 29: -£7.42
Gameweek 30: £21.82
Gameweek 31: -£82.50
Gameweek 32: -£31.56
Gameweek 33: £84.50
Gameweek 34: £6.00
Total: £-116.30
Saturday 20 April 2013
Premier League 2012/13 - Gameweek 34
Fulham-Arsenal -- Draw @ 31/10
Norwich-Reading -- Reading @ 9/2
QPR-Stoke -- QPR @ 5/4
Sunderland-Everton -- Draw @ 12/5
Swansea-Southampton -- Draw @ 5/2
West Brom-Newcastle -- Draw @ 5/2
West Ham-Wigan -- Draw @ 5/2
Spurs-Man City -- Draw @ 5/2
Liverpool-Chelsea -- Draw @ 13/5
Man Utd-Villa -- Villa @ 12/1
Ten games this matchday, £10 stakes on each, total stake £100.
Norwich-Reading -- Reading @ 9/2
QPR-Stoke -- QPR @ 5/4
Sunderland-Everton -- Draw @ 12/5
Swansea-Southampton -- Draw @ 5/2
West Brom-Newcastle -- Draw @ 5/2
West Ham-Wigan -- Draw @ 5/2
Spurs-Man City -- Draw @ 5/2
Liverpool-Chelsea -- Draw @ 13/5
Man Utd-Villa -- Villa @ 12/1
Ten games this matchday, £10 stakes on each, total stake £100.
Premier League 2012/13 Gameweek 33 Results
Having staked £110 on the 11 Premiership games in gameweek 33, I achieved a profit of £84.50.
Gameweek 1: £62.31
Gameweek 2: -£25.09
Gameweek 3: -£2.00
Gameweek 4: -£4.91
Gameweek 5: -£60.83
Gameweek 6: -£16.78
Gameweek 7: -£46.57
Gameweek 8: -£62.45
Gameweek 9: £6.88
Gameweek 10: £113.05
Gameweek 11: £39.12
Gameweek 12: -£7.76
Gameweek 13: £70.40
Gameweek 14: £20.80
Gameweek 15: £22.73
Gameweek 16: -£77.50
Gameweek 17: £3.84
Gameweek 18: -£59.37
Gameweek 19: £22.01
Gameweek 20: -£100.00
Gameweek 21: -£18.42
Gameweek 22: £63.80
Gameweek 23: £0.33
Gameweek 24: £135.12
Gameweek 25: £25.53
Gameweek 26: -£76.00
Gameweek 27: -£90.00
Gameweek 28: -£45.38
Gameweek 29: -£7.42
Gameweek 30: £21.82
Gameweek 31: -£82.50
Gameweek 32: -£31.56
Gameweek 33: £84.50
Total: £-122.30
Gameweek 1: £62.31
Gameweek 2: -£25.09
Gameweek 3: -£2.00
Gameweek 4: -£4.91
Gameweek 5: -£60.83
Gameweek 6: -£16.78
Gameweek 7: -£46.57
Gameweek 8: -£62.45
Gameweek 9: £6.88
Gameweek 10: £113.05
Gameweek 11: £39.12
Gameweek 12: -£7.76
Gameweek 13: £70.40
Gameweek 14: £20.80
Gameweek 15: £22.73
Gameweek 16: -£77.50
Gameweek 17: £3.84
Gameweek 18: -£59.37
Gameweek 19: £22.01
Gameweek 20: -£100.00
Gameweek 21: -£18.42
Gameweek 22: £63.80
Gameweek 23: £0.33
Gameweek 24: £135.12
Gameweek 25: £25.53
Gameweek 26: -£76.00
Gameweek 27: -£90.00
Gameweek 28: -£45.38
Gameweek 29: -£7.42
Gameweek 30: £21.82
Gameweek 31: -£82.50
Gameweek 32: -£31.56
Gameweek 33: £84.50
Total: £-122.30
Wednesday 17 April 2013
Are Liverpool the best bet in the Premier League?
Let's keep this simple, Liverpool have played 109 league games since the start of the 2010/11 season.
If I bet on Liverpool to win every game (£100 stake):
I would have lost £1850
If I bet on Liverpool to draw every game (£100 stake):
I would have won £190
If I bet on Liverpool to lose every game (£100 stake):
I would have won £5190
Total of these equals £3530 profit. (all numbers rounded to the pound)
Now obviously just betting on Liverpool to lose would have been the most profitable, but the key thing to note here is that you could have bet on Liverpool to win, draw and lose each game (with a total stake, adding the 3, of £300) and made a significant profit.
This is a retrospective analysis and you would need to have foreseen Liverpool's relative demise to make this work.
That isn't the point, the point is to prove that the game isn't always rigged, the bookie doesn't always win, there are gaps to exploit and it mainly comes from expectation errors.
If I bet on Liverpool to win every game (£100 stake):
I would have lost £1850
If I bet on Liverpool to draw every game (£100 stake):
I would have won £190
If I bet on Liverpool to lose every game (£100 stake):
I would have won £5190
Total of these equals £3530 profit. (all numbers rounded to the pound)
Now obviously just betting on Liverpool to lose would have been the most profitable, but the key thing to note here is that you could have bet on Liverpool to win, draw and lose each game (with a total stake, adding the 3, of £300) and made a significant profit.
This is a retrospective analysis and you would need to have foreseen Liverpool's relative demise to make this work.
That isn't the point, the point is to prove that the game isn't always rigged, the bookie doesn't always win, there are gaps to exploit and it mainly comes from expectation errors.
Friday 12 April 2013
Premier League 2012/13 - Gameweek 33
Arsenal-Norwich -- Norwich @ 14/1
Villa-Fulham -- Draw @ 12/5
Everton-QPR -- Draw @ 4/1
Reading-Liverpool -- Draw @ 15/4
Southampton-West Ham -- Draw @ 11/4
Newcastle-Sunderland -- Newcastle @ 28/29
Stoke-Man Utd -- Draw @ 31/10
Arsenal-Everton -- Draw @ 11/4
Man City-Wigan -- Wigan @ 14/1
West Ham-Man Utd -- Draw @ 14/5
Fulham-Chelsea -- Fulham @ 16/5
Eleven games this matchday, £10 stakes on each, total stake £110.
Villa-Fulham -- Draw @ 12/5
Everton-QPR -- Draw @ 4/1
Reading-Liverpool -- Draw @ 15/4
Southampton-West Ham -- Draw @ 11/4
Newcastle-Sunderland -- Newcastle @ 28/29
Stoke-Man Utd -- Draw @ 31/10
Arsenal-Everton -- Draw @ 11/4
Man City-Wigan -- Wigan @ 14/1
West Ham-Man Utd -- Draw @ 14/5
Fulham-Chelsea -- Fulham @ 16/5
Eleven games this matchday, £10 stakes on each, total stake £110.
Premier League 2012/13 Gameweek 32 Results
Having staked £100 on the 10 Premiership games in gameweek 32, I achieved a loss of £31.56.
Gameweek 1: £62.31
Gameweek 2: -£25.09
Gameweek 3: -£2.00
Gameweek 4: -£4.91
Gameweek 5: -£60.83
Gameweek 6: -£16.78
Gameweek 7: -£46.57
Gameweek 8: -£62.45
Gameweek 9: £6.88
Gameweek 10: £113.05
Gameweek 11: £39.12
Gameweek 12: -£7.76
Gameweek 13: £70.40
Gameweek 14: £20.80
Gameweek 15: £22.73
Gameweek 16: -£77.50
Gameweek 17: £3.84
Gameweek 18: -£59.37
Gameweek 19: £22.01
Gameweek 20: -£100.00
Gameweek 21: -£18.42
Gameweek 22: £63.80
Gameweek 23: £0.33
Gameweek 24: £135.12
Gameweek 25: £25.53
Gameweek 26: -£76.00
Gameweek 27: -£90.00
Gameweek 28: -£45.38
Gameweek 29: -£7.42
Gameweek 30: £21.82
Gameweek 31: -£82.50
Gameweek 32: -£31.56
Total: £-206.80
Gameweek 1: £62.31
Gameweek 2: -£25.09
Gameweek 3: -£2.00
Gameweek 4: -£4.91
Gameweek 5: -£60.83
Gameweek 6: -£16.78
Gameweek 7: -£46.57
Gameweek 8: -£62.45
Gameweek 9: £6.88
Gameweek 10: £113.05
Gameweek 11: £39.12
Gameweek 12: -£7.76
Gameweek 13: £70.40
Gameweek 14: £20.80
Gameweek 15: £22.73
Gameweek 16: -£77.50
Gameweek 17: £3.84
Gameweek 18: -£59.37
Gameweek 19: £22.01
Gameweek 20: -£100.00
Gameweek 21: -£18.42
Gameweek 22: £63.80
Gameweek 23: £0.33
Gameweek 24: £135.12
Gameweek 25: £25.53
Gameweek 26: -£76.00
Gameweek 27: -£90.00
Gameweek 28: -£45.38
Gameweek 29: -£7.42
Gameweek 30: £21.82
Gameweek 31: -£82.50
Gameweek 32: -£31.56
Total: £-206.80
Saturday 6 April 2013
Premier League 2012/13 - Gameweek 32
Reading-Southampton -- Draw @ 13/5
Norwich-Swansea -- Norwich @ 17/10
Stoke-Villa -- Draw @ 5/2
West Brom-Arsenal -- West Brom @ 10/3
Liverpool-West Ham -- Liverpool @ 4/11
Spurs-Everton -- Draw @ 12/5
Chelsea-Sunderland -- Sunderland @ 100/9
Newcastle-Fulham -- Draw @ 38/15
QPR-Wigan -- Draw @ 22/9
Man Utd-Man City -- Man Utd @ 13/10
Ten games this matchday, £10 stakes on each, total stake £100.
Norwich-Swansea -- Norwich @ 17/10
Stoke-Villa -- Draw @ 5/2
West Brom-Arsenal -- West Brom @ 10/3
Liverpool-West Ham -- Liverpool @ 4/11
Spurs-Everton -- Draw @ 12/5
Chelsea-Sunderland -- Sunderland @ 100/9
Newcastle-Fulham -- Draw @ 38/15
QPR-Wigan -- Draw @ 22/9
Man Utd-Man City -- Man Utd @ 13/10
Ten games this matchday, £10 stakes on each, total stake £100.
Premier League 2012/13 Gameweek 31 Results
Having staked £100 on the 10 Premiership games in gameweek 31, I achieved a loss of £82.50.
Gameweek 1: £62.31
Gameweek 2: -£25.09
Gameweek 3: -£2.00
Gameweek 4: -£4.91
Gameweek 5: -£60.83
Gameweek 6: -£16.78
Gameweek 7: -£46.57
Gameweek 8: -£62.45
Gameweek 9: £6.88
Gameweek 10: £113.05
Gameweek 11: £39.12
Gameweek 12: -£7.76
Gameweek 13: £70.40
Gameweek 14: £20.80
Gameweek 15: £22.73
Gameweek 16: -£77.50
Gameweek 17: £3.84
Gameweek 18: -£59.37
Gameweek 19: £22.01
Gameweek 20: -£100.00
Gameweek 21: -£18.42
Gameweek 22: £63.80
Gameweek 23: £0.33
Gameweek 24: £135.12
Gameweek 25: £25.53
Gameweek 26: -£76.00
Gameweek 27: -£90.00
Gameweek 28: -£45.38
Gameweek 29: -£7.42
Gameweek 30: £21.82
Gameweek 31: -£82.50
Total: £-175.24
Gameweek 1: £62.31
Gameweek 2: -£25.09
Gameweek 3: -£2.00
Gameweek 4: -£4.91
Gameweek 5: -£60.83
Gameweek 6: -£16.78
Gameweek 7: -£46.57
Gameweek 8: -£62.45
Gameweek 9: £6.88
Gameweek 10: £113.05
Gameweek 11: £39.12
Gameweek 12: -£7.76
Gameweek 13: £70.40
Gameweek 14: £20.80
Gameweek 15: £22.73
Gameweek 16: -£77.50
Gameweek 17: £3.84
Gameweek 18: -£59.37
Gameweek 19: £22.01
Gameweek 20: -£100.00
Gameweek 21: -£18.42
Gameweek 22: £63.80
Gameweek 23: £0.33
Gameweek 24: £135.12
Gameweek 25: £25.53
Gameweek 26: -£76.00
Gameweek 27: -£90.00
Gameweek 28: -£45.38
Gameweek 29: -£7.42
Gameweek 30: £21.82
Gameweek 31: -£82.50
Total: £-175.24
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